Why this pick: Leeds vs Arsenal
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Leeds 10, Arsenal 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
LeedsArsenal
1.85
xG per 90
2.12
1.70
npxG per 90
2.04
14.2
PPDA
9.8
6.8
Deep completions per 90
9.7
1.75
xPTS per 90
2.15
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Leeds and Arsenal recent form
Leeds
2W 3D 1L
Arsenal
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Leeds at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-4-2
- Win rate
- 45%
- Goals for / match
- 1.73
- Goals against / match
- 1.18
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 11
Arsenal away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-3-2
- Win rate
- 55%
- Goals for / match
- 1.27
- Goals against / match
- 0.82
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 11
League matches this season before kick-off: Leeds at home only, Arsenal away only.
Leeds vs Arsenal head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Leeds 0 · draws 1 · Arsenal 8.
0%
11%
89%
LeedsDrawsArsenal
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-23 | Arsenal | 5-0 | Leeds | Premier League |
| 2023-04-01 | Arsenal | 4-1 | Leeds | Premier League |
| 2022-10-16 | Leeds | 0-1 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2022-05-08 | Arsenal | 2-1 | Leeds | Premier League |
| 2021-12-18 | Leeds | 1-4 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2021-10-26 | Arsenal | 2-0 | Leeds | League Cup |
| 2021-02-14 | Arsenal | 4-2 | Leeds | Premier League |
| 2020-11-22 | Leeds | 0-0 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2020-01-06 | Arsenal | 1-0 | Leeds | FA Cup |
Before and after this match
- Leeds, previous: Everton v Leeds analysis
- Leeds, next: Leeds – Nottingham Forest, 2026-02-06
- Arsenal, previous: Arsenal – Manchester United, 2026-01-25
- Arsenal, next: Arsenal vs Sunderland prediction