Why this pick: Leeds vs Nottingham Forest
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Leeds 10, Nottingham Forest 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
LeedsNottingham Forest
1.64
xG per 90
1.03
1.49
npxG per 90
0.96
12.8
PPDA
16.4
6.6
Deep completions per 90
5.1
1.52
xPTS per 90
0.93
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Leeds and Nottingham Forest recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Leeds at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-4-3
- Win rate
- 42%
- Goals for / match
- 1.58
- Goals against / match
- 1.42
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 12
Nottingham Forest away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-6
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.92
- Goals against / match
- 1.42
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 12
League matches this season before kick-off: Leeds at home only, Nottingham Forest away only.
Leeds vs Nottingham Forest head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Leeds 2 · draws 2 · Nottingham Forest 4.
25%
25%
50%
LeedsDrawsNottingham Forest
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | Nottingham Forest | 3-1 | Leeds | Premier League |
| 2023-07-27 | Nottingham Forest | 0-2 | Leeds | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2023-04-04 | Leeds | 2-1 | Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| 2023-02-05 | Nottingham Forest | 1-0 | Leeds | Premier League |
| 2020-02-08 | Nottingham Forest | 2-0 | Leeds | Championship |
| 2019-08-10 | Leeds | 1-1 | Nottingham Forest | Championship |
| 2019-01-01 | Nottingham Forest | 4-2 | Leeds | Championship |
| 2018-10-27 | Leeds | 1-1 | Nottingham Forest | Championship |
Before and after this match
- Leeds, previous: Leeds vs Arsenal prediction
- Leeds, next: Chelsea vs Leeds: odds and pick
- Nottingham Forest, previous: Nottingham Forest v Crystal Palace analysis
- Nottingham Forest, next: Nottingham Forest v Wolverhampton Wanderers analysis