Why this pick: Leeds vs Brighton
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Leeds 10, Brighton 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
LeedsBrighton
1.68
xG per 90
1.69
1.45
npxG per 90
1.69
11.0
PPDA
8.1
5.6
Deep completions per 90
8.5
1.71
xPTS per 90
1.76
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Leeds and Brighton recent form
Leeds
3W 2D 1L
Brighton
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Leeds at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-5-5
- Win rate
- 44%
- Goals for / match
- 1.56
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 18
Brighton away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-5-8
- Win rate
- 28%
- Goals for / match
- 1.22
- Goals against / match
- 1.39
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 18
League matches this season before kick-off: Leeds at home only, Brighton away only.
Leeds vs Brighton head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Leeds 2 · draws 3 · Brighton 5.
20%
30%
50%
LeedsDrawsBrighton
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Leeds | 1-0 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2025-11-01 | Brighton | 3-0 | Leeds | Premier League |
| 2023-03-11 | Leeds | 2-2 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2022-08-27 | Brighton | 1-0 | Leeds | Premier League |
| 2022-05-15 | Leeds | 1-1 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2021-11-27 | Brighton | 0-0 | Leeds | Premier League |
| 2021-05-01 | Brighton | 2-0 | Leeds | Premier League |
| 2021-01-16 | Leeds | 0-1 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2017-03-18 | Leeds | 2-0 | Brighton | Championship |
| 2016-12-09 | Brighton | 2-0 | Leeds | Championship |
Before and after this match
- Leeds, previous: Tottenham vs Leeds: odds and pick
- Leeds, next: West Ham vs Leeds prediction
- Brighton, previous: Brighton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: odds and pick
- Brighton, next: Brighton vs Manchester United: odds and pick