Why this pick: Brighton vs Manchester United
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Brighton 10, Manchester United 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BrightonManchester United
1.77
xG per 90
1.86
1.77
npxG per 90
1.71
8.0
PPDA
12.7
9.6
Deep completions per 90
8.0
1.89
xPTS per 90
1.57
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Brighton and Manchester United recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Brighton at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-6-3
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.94
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 18
Manchester United away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-8-4
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.44
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 18
League matches this season before kick-off: Brighton at home only, Manchester United away only.
Brighton vs Manchester United head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Brighton 6 · draws 1 · Manchester United 2.
67%
11%
22%
BrightonDrawsManchester United
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 | Manchester United | 1-2 | Brighton | England FA Cup |
| 2025-10-25 | Manchester United | 4-2 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2025-01-19 | Manchester United | 1-3 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2024-08-24 | Brighton | 2-1 | Manchester United | Premier League |
| 2024-05-19 | Brighton | 0-2 | Manchester United | Premier League |
| 2023-09-16 | Manchester United | 1-3 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2023-05-04 | Brighton | 1-0 | Manchester United | Premier League |
| 2023-04-23 | Brighton | 0-0 | Manchester United | FA Cup |
| 2022-08-07 | Manchester United | 1-2 | Brighton | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Brighton, previous: Leeds – Brighton, 2026-05-17
- Brighton, next: Brighton vs Aston Villa prediction
- Manchester United, previous: Manchester United v Nottingham Forest analysis
- Manchester United, next: Hull City v Manchester United analysis