Why this pick: Liverpool vs Brighton
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Liverpool 10, Brighton 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
LiverpoolBrighton
1.92
xG per 90
1.60
1.92
npxG per 90
1.60
9.4
PPDA
9.3
8.3
Deep completions per 90
6.8
1.60
xPTS per 90
1.45
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Liverpool and Brighton recent form
Liverpool
2W 2D 2L
Brighton
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Liverpool at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-2
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 1.57
- Goals against / match
- 1.29
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
Brighton away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-3
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 1.43
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
League matches this season before kick-off: Liverpool at home only, Brighton away only.
Liverpool vs Brighton head-to-head
Last 7 meetings: Liverpool 3 · draws 1 · Brighton 3.
43%
14%
43%
LiverpoolDrawsBrighton
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-19 | Brighton | 3-2 | Liverpool | Premier League |
| 2024-11-02 | Liverpool | 2-1 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2024-10-30 | Brighton | 2-3 | Liverpool | League Cup |
| 2024-03-31 | Liverpool | 2-1 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2023-10-08 | Brighton | 2-2 | Liverpool | Premier League |
| 2023-01-29 | Brighton | 2-1 | Liverpool | FA Cup |
| 2023-01-14 | Brighton | 3-0 | Liverpool | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Liverpool, previous: Leeds vs Liverpool: odds and pick
- Liverpool, next: Tottenham v Liverpool analysis
- Brighton, previous: Brighton vs West Ham prediction
- Brighton, next: Brighton vs Sunderland: odds and pick