Why this pick: Manchester City vs Brentford
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Manchester City 10, Brentford 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Manchester CityBrentford
2.33
xG per 90
1.79
2.26
npxG per 90
1.64
10.7
PPDA
10.4
11.9
Deep completions per 90
6.1
2.13
xPTS per 90
1.75
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Manchester City and Brentford recent form
Manchester City
5W 1D 0L
Brentford
1W 4D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Manchester City at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 12-3-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.38
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 16
Brentford away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-2-9
- Win rate
- 35%
- Goals for / match
- 1.24
- Goals against / match
- 1.59
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 17
League matches this season before kick-off: Manchester City at home only, Brentford away only.
Manchester City vs Brentford head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Manchester City 5 · draws 1 · Brentford 0.
83%
17%
0%
Manchester CityDrawsBrentford
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 | Manchester City | 2-0 | Brentford | League Cup |
| 2025-10-05 | Brentford | 0-1 | Manchester City | Premier League |
| 2025-01-14 | Brentford | 2-2 | Manchester City | Premier League |
| 2024-09-14 | Manchester City | 2-1 | Brentford | Premier League |
| 2024-02-20 | Manchester City | 1-0 | Brentford | Premier League |
| 2024-02-05 | Brentford | 1-3 | Manchester City | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Manchester City, previous: Everton – Manchester City, 2026-05-04
- Manchester City, next: Manchester City vs Crystal Palace prediction
- Brentford, previous: Brentford – West Ham, 2026-05-02
- Brentford, next: Brentford vs Crystal Palace: odds and pick