Updated
Premier League · 2026/27
Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every Manchester City fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.
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2026/27 league season, 8 matches played. Straight tallies of Manchester City results, three points for a win.
Month · matches played that month. Both charts share one scale.
Month · matches played that month. Both charts share one scale.
Place in the 2026/27 table after each of 8 league matches, recomputed from results.
Ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored — from played results, not an imported table. Every point is the table as it stood on that date, when other clubs may have played fewer matches, so the last point can read differently from the current table at the top of this page. Hover a point for the match.
Next 8 scheduled — a prediction page appears once a fixture enters our publication window.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Brighton (H) | Manchester CityOur prob 56%Best odds 1.67 | 56% | 1.67 | |
| at Nottingham Forest (A) | Manchester CityOur prob 53%Best odds 1.73 | 53% | 1.73 | |
| vs Fulham (H) | not yet published | — | — | |
| at Arsenal (A) | not yet published | — | — | |
| vs Leeds (H) | not yet published | — | — | |
| at Brentford (A) | not yet published | — | — | |
| vs Chelsea (H) | not yet published | — | — | |
| vs Hull City (H) | not yet published | — | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded). Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update. 22 more fixtures scheduled later this season.
| Date · round | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 8 September 2026 League Stage - 1 |
at FC Porto | 2–0 win |
| 14 October 2026 League Stage - 2 |
vs Paris Saint Germain | 2–4 loss |
| 20 October 2026 League Stage - 3 |
vs AEK Athens FC | 5–1 win |
| 4 November 2026 League Stage - 4 |
at RasenBallsport Leipzig | upcoming |
| 24 November 2026 League Stage - 5 |
vs Napoli | upcoming |
| 8 December 2026 League Stage - 6 |
at Barcelona | upcoming |
| 20 January 2027 League Stage - 7 |
at Lens | upcoming |
| 27 January 2027 League Stage - 8 |
vs Sporting CP | upcoming |
| Date · round | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 17 September 2026 Round of 32 |
vs Norwich | 5–0 win |
| 28 October 2026 Round of 16 |
vs Brighton | upcoming |
Last 8 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Aston Villa (A)Our pick Manchester City · 52% | Manchester City to win | 52% | 1–2 | Missed | |
| vs Ipswich (H)Our pick Manchester City · 74% | Manchester City to win | 74% | 3–2 | Correct | |
| at Liverpool (A)Our pick Manchester City · 43% | Manchester City to win | 43% | 3–0 | Correct | |
| vs Sunderland (H)Our pick Manchester City · 70% | Manchester City to win | 70% | 5–3 | Correct | |
| at Manchester United (A)Our pick Manchester City · 41% | Manchester City to win | 41% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| vs Coventry (H)Our pick Manchester City · 75% | Manchester City to win | 75% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| at Crystal Palace (A)Our pick Manchester City · 54% | Manchester City to win | 54% | 4–1 | Correct | |
| vs Bournemouth (H)Our pick Manchester City · 64% | Manchester City to win | 64% | 2–1 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result. Scores are Manchester City’s goals first; H/A = home/away.
Manchester City at home Manchester City awayLeague matches this season only: Manchester City at home in the left column, away in the right.