Why this pick: Nottingham Forest vs Brighton
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Nottingham Forest 10, Brighton 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Nottingham ForestBrighton
1.12
xG per 90
1.42
1.04
npxG per 90
1.34
13.2
PPDA
10.3
5.7
Deep completions per 90
5.8
1.01
xPTS per 90
1.36
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Nottingham Forest and Brighton recent form
Nottingham Forest
3W 2D 1L
Brighton
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Nottingham Forest at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-3
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
Brighton away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-3
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
League matches this season before kick-off: Nottingham Forest at home only, Brighton away only.
Nottingham Forest vs Brighton head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Nottingham Forest 1 · draws 2 · Brighton 2.
20%
40%
40%
Nottingham ForestDrawsBrighton
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-29 | Brighton | 0-0 | Nottingham Forest | England FA Cup |
| 2025-02-01 | Nottingham Forest | 7-0 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2024-09-22 | Brighton | 2-2 | Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| 2024-03-10 | Brighton | 1-0 | Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| 2023-11-25 | Nottingham Forest | 2-3 | Brighton | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Nottingham Forest, previous: Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest: odds and pick
- Nottingham Forest, next: Wolverhampton Wanderers – Nottingham Forest, 2025-12-03
- Brighton, previous: Brighton – Brentford, 2025-11-22
- Brighton, next: Brighton vs Aston Villa: odds and pick