Why this pick: Brighton vs Aston Villa
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Brighton 10, Aston Villa 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BrightonAston Villa
1.40
xG per 90
1.04
1.40
npxG per 90
1.04
10.1
PPDA
12.4
6.2
Deep completions per 90
6.9
1.44
xPTS per 90
1.16
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Brighton and Aston Villa recent form
Brighton
3W 1D 2L
Aston Villa
5W 0D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Brighton at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
Aston Villa away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.83
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
League matches this season before kick-off: Brighton at home only, Aston Villa away only.
Brighton vs Aston Villa head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Brighton 1 · draws 1 · Aston Villa 2.
25%
25%
50%
BrightonDrawsAston Villa
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-02 | Brighton | 0-3 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 2024-12-30 | Aston Villa | 2-2 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2024-05-05 | Brighton | 1-0 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 2023-09-30 | Aston Villa | 6-1 | Brighton | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Brighton, previous: Nottingham Forest vs Brighton prediction
- Brighton, next: Brighton vs West Ham prediction
- Aston Villa, previous: Aston Villa vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: odds and pick
- Aston Villa, next: Aston Villa – Arsenal, 2025-12-06