Why this pick: Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Nottingham Forest 10, Manchester City 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Nottingham ForestManchester City
1.28
xG per 90
2.26
1.20
npxG per 90
2.10
13.5
PPDA
12.6
5.7
Deep completions per 90
9.8
1.32
xPTS per 90
2.11
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Nottingham Forest and Manchester City recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Nottingham Forest at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-4
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.38
- Goals against / match
- 1.62
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 8
Manchester City away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-3
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 8
League matches this season before kick-off: Nottingham Forest at home only, Manchester City away only.
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Nottingham Forest 1 · draws 0 · Manchester City 4.
20%
0%
80%
Nottingham ForestDrawsManchester City
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-27 | Nottingham Forest | 0-2 | Manchester City | England FA Cup |
| 2025-03-08 | Nottingham Forest | 1-0 | Manchester City | Premier League |
| 2024-12-04 | Manchester City | 3-0 | Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| 2024-04-28 | Nottingham Forest | 0-2 | Manchester City | Premier League |
| 2023-09-23 | Manchester City | 2-0 | Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Nottingham Forest, previous: Fulham v Nottingham Forest analysis
- Nottingham Forest, next: Nottingham Forest vs Everton: odds and pick
- Manchester City, previous: Manchester City vs West Ham prediction
- Manchester City, next: Sunderland v Manchester City analysis