Why this pick: AC Milan vs Genoa
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (AC Milan 10, Genoa 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
AC MilanGenoa
1.85
xG per 90
1.25
1.69
npxG per 90
1.10
17.2
PPDA
10.6
7.8
Deep completions per 90
3.2
1.85
xPTS per 90
1.03
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
AC Milan and Genoa recent form
AC Milan
4W 1D 1L
Genoa
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
AC Milan at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-2-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.89
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 9
Genoa away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-4
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.88
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 8
League matches this season before kick-off: AC Milan at home only, Genoa away only.
AC Milan vs Genoa head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: AC Milan 2 · draws 2 · Genoa 0.
50%
50%
0%
AC MilanDrawsGenoa
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-05 | Genoa | 1-2 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 2024-12-15 | AC Milan | 0-0 | Genoa | Serie A |
| 2024-05-05 | AC Milan | 3-3 | Genoa | Serie A |
| 2023-10-07 | Genoa | 0-1 | AC Milan | Serie A |
Before and after this match
- AC Milan, previous: Cagliari – AC Milan, 2026-01-02
- AC Milan, next: Fiorentina v AC Milan analysis
- Genoa, previous: Genoa vs Pisa: odds and pick
- Genoa, next: Genoa – Cagliari, 2026-01-12