Why this pick: Fiorentina vs AC Milan
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Fiorentina 10, AC Milan 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
FiorentinaAC Milan
1.72
xG per 90
1.86
1.50
npxG per 90
1.71
11.1
PPDA
17.1
6.2
Deep completions per 90
8.1
1.44
xPTS per 90
1.84
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Fiorentina and AC Milan recent form
Fiorentina
2W 1D 3L
AC Milan
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Fiorentina at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-5
- Win rate
- 22%
- Goals for / match
- 1.44
- Goals against / match
- 1.56
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 9
AC Milan away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-3-0
- Win rate
- 62%
- Goals for / match
- 1.62
- Goals against / match
- 0.62
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 8
League matches this season before kick-off: Fiorentina at home only, AC Milan away only.
Fiorentina vs AC Milan head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Fiorentina 1 · draws 1 · AC Milan 3.
20%
20%
60%
FiorentinaDrawsAC Milan
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-19 | AC Milan | 2-1 | Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 2025-04-05 | AC Milan | 2-2 | Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 2024-10-06 | Fiorentina | 2-1 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 2024-03-30 | Fiorentina | 1-2 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 2023-11-25 | AC Milan | 1-0 | Fiorentina | Serie A |
Before and after this match
- Fiorentina, previous: Lazio vs Fiorentina prediction
- Fiorentina, next: Bologna vs Fiorentina prediction
- AC Milan, previous: AC Milan vs Genoa prediction
- AC Milan, next: Como v AC Milan analysis