Why this pick: AC Milan vs Juventus
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (AC Milan 10, Juventus 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
AC MilanJuventus
1.56
xG per 90
2.10
1.48
npxG per 90
2.02
13.8
PPDA
14.9
8.0
Deep completions per 90
11.6
1.57
xPTS per 90
1.84
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
AC Milan and Juventus recent form
AC Milan
3W 0D 3L
Juventus
5W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
AC Milan at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-4-3
- Win rate
- 56%
- Goals for / match
- 1.38
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 16
Juventus away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-3-5
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.44
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 16
League matches this season before kick-off: AC Milan at home only, Juventus away only.
AC Milan vs Juventus head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: AC Milan 3 · draws 4 · Juventus 2.
33%
44%
23%
AC MilanDrawsJuventus
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | Juventus | 0-0 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 2025-01-18 | Juventus | 2-0 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 2025-01-03 | Juventus | 1-2 | AC Milan | Super Cup |
| 2024-11-23 | AC Milan | 0-0 | Juventus | Serie A |
| 2024-04-27 | Juventus | 0-0 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 2023-10-22 | AC Milan | 0-1 | Juventus | Serie A |
| 2023-07-28 | Juventus | 2-2 | AC Milan | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2023-05-28 | Juventus | 0-1 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 2022-10-08 | AC Milan | 2-0 | Juventus | Serie A |
Before and after this match
- AC Milan, previous: Verona – AC Milan, 2026-04-19
- AC Milan, next: Sassuolo vs AC Milan prediction
- Juventus, previous: Juventus vs Bologna: odds and pick
- Juventus, next: Juventus – Verona, 2026-05-03