Why this pick: Sassuolo vs AC Milan
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Sassuolo 10, AC Milan 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
SassuoloAC Milan
1.02
xG per 90
1.40
0.93
npxG per 90
1.40
18.8
PPDA
14.7
4.4
Deep completions per 90
8.5
1.04
xPTS per 90
1.49
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Sassuolo and AC Milan recent form
Sassuolo
2W 2D 2L
AC Milan
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sassuolo at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-2-7
- Win rate
- 47%
- Goals for / match
- 1.24
- Goals against / match
- 1.35
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 17
AC Milan away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 10-5-2
- Win rate
- 59%
- Goals for / match
- 1.53
- Goals against / match
- 0.65
- Clean sheets
- 8 of 17
League matches this season before kick-off: Sassuolo at home only, AC Milan away only.
Sassuolo vs AC Milan head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Sassuolo 3 · draws 3 · AC Milan 3.
33%
33%
34%
SassuoloDrawsAC Milan
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | AC Milan | 2-2 | Sassuolo | Serie A |
| 2024-12-03 | AC Milan | 6-1 | Sassuolo | Coppa Italia |
| 2024-04-14 | Sassuolo | 3-3 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 2023-12-30 | AC Milan | 1-0 | Sassuolo | Serie A |
| 2023-01-29 | AC Milan | 2-5 | Sassuolo | Serie A |
| 2022-08-30 | Sassuolo | 0-0 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 2022-05-22 | Sassuolo | 0-3 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 2021-11-28 | AC Milan | 1-3 | Sassuolo | Serie A |
| 2021-04-21 | AC Milan | 1-2 | Sassuolo | Serie A |
Before and after this match
- Sassuolo, previous: Fiorentina – Sassuolo, 2026-04-26
- Sassuolo, next: Torino – Sassuolo, 2026-05-08
- AC Milan, previous: AC Milan vs Juventus prediction
- AC Milan, next: AC Milan – Atalanta, 2026-05-10