Why this pick: Bologna vs Fiorentina
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Bologna 10, Fiorentina 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BolognaFiorentina
1.39
xG per 90
1.82
1.24
npxG per 90
1.60
10.3
PPDA
11.6
3.9
Deep completions per 90
6.0
1.22
xPTS per 90
1.46
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Bologna and Fiorentina recent form
Bologna
1W 2D 3L
Fiorentina
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bologna at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-3
- Win rate
- 44%
- Goals for / match
- 1.22
- Goals against / match
- 0.89
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 9
Fiorentina away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-5-5
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.70
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
League matches this season before kick-off: Bologna at home only, Fiorentina away only.
Bologna vs Fiorentina head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Bologna 2 · draws 1 · Fiorentina 2.
40%
20%
40%
BolognaDrawsFiorentina
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-26 | Fiorentina | 2-2 | Bologna | Serie A |
| 2025-05-18 | Fiorentina | 3-2 | Bologna | Serie A |
| 2024-12-15 | Bologna | 1-0 | Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 2024-02-14 | Bologna | 2-0 | Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 2023-11-12 | Fiorentina | 2-1 | Bologna | Serie A |
Before and after this match
- Bologna, previous: Verona – Bologna, 2026-01-15
- Bologna, next: Genoa vs Bologna: odds and pick
- Fiorentina, previous: Fiorentina v AC Milan analysis
- Fiorentina, next: Fiorentina vs Cagliari: odds and pick