Updated

Serie A

Fiorentina vs Cremonese

Full time1 – 0

Why this pick: Fiorentina vs Cremonese

Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Fiorentina 10, Cremonese 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.

FiorentinaCremonese
1.81 xG per 90 1.17
1.51 npxG per 90 1.10
10.9 PPDA 12.4
5.1 Deep completions per 90 3.5
1.45 xPTS per 90 1.05

xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.

Fiorentina and Cremonese recent form

Fiorentina 2W 0D 4L
Cremonese 2W 1D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Fiorentina at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-2-5
Win rate
12%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
1.75
Clean sheets
0 of 8

Cremonese away

Record (W-D-L)
3-3-3
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
3 of 9

League matches this season before kick-off: Fiorentina at home only, Cremonese away only.

Before and after this match