Why this pick: Lazio vs Fiorentina
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Lazio 10, Fiorentina 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
LazioFiorentina
0.89
xG per 90
1.65
0.89
npxG per 90
1.49
16.1
PPDA
11.0
4.0
Deep completions per 90
6.0
1.11
xPTS per 90
1.41
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Lazio and Fiorentina recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Lazio at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-2
- Win rate
- 44%
- Goals for / match
- 1.44
- Goals against / match
- 0.78
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 9
Fiorentina away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-4-5
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.56
- Goals against / match
- 1.56
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 9
League matches this season before kick-off: Lazio at home only, Fiorentina away only.
Lazio vs Fiorentina head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Lazio 1 · draws 0 · Fiorentina 3.
25%
0%
75%
LazioDrawsFiorentina
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-26 | Lazio | 1-2 | Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 2024-09-22 | Fiorentina | 2-1 | Lazio | Serie A |
| 2024-02-26 | Fiorentina | 2-1 | Lazio | Serie A |
| 2023-10-30 | Lazio | 1-0 | Fiorentina | Serie A |
Before and after this match
- Lazio, previous: Lazio vs Napoli: odds and pick
- Lazio, next: Verona vs Lazio: odds and pick
- Fiorentina, previous: Fiorentina vs Cremonese prediction
- Fiorentina, next: Fiorentina v AC Milan analysis