Why this pick: FC Heidenheim vs Mainz 05
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (FC Heidenheim 10, Mainz 05 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
FC HeidenheimMainz 05
1.60
xG per 90
2.12
1.52
npxG per 90
2.05
16.2
PPDA
19.0
5.7
Deep completions per 90
8.3
1.27
xPTS per 90
1.75
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
FC Heidenheim and Mainz 05 recent form
FC Heidenheim
3W 2D 1L
Mainz 05
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Heidenheim at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-5-7
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.44
- Goals against / match
- 2.19
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 16
Mainz 05 away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-5-6
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 1.31
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 16
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Heidenheim at home only, Mainz 05 away only.
FC Heidenheim vs Mainz 05 head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: FC Heidenheim 2 · draws 1 · Mainz 05 2.
40%
20%
40%
FC HeidenheimDrawsMainz 05
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 | Mainz 05 | 2-1 | FC Heidenheim | Bundesliga |
| 2025-02-16 | FC Heidenheim | 0-2 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-09-28 | Mainz 05 | 0-2 | FC Heidenheim | Bundesliga |
| 2024-05-05 | FC Heidenheim | 1-1 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| 2023-12-16 | Mainz 05 | 0-1 | FC Heidenheim | Bundesliga |
Before and after this match
- FC Heidenheim, previous: FC Cologne vs FC Heidenheim prediction
- Mainz 05, previous: Mainz 05 – Union Berlin, 2026-05-10
- Mainz 05, next: Mainz 05 v SC Paderborn 07 analysis