Why this pick: Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Mainz 05 10, Union Berlin 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Mainz 05Union Berlin
2.09
xG per 90
0.98
2.01
npxG per 90
0.90
18.8
PPDA
16.7
7.5
Deep completions per 90
4.7
1.88
xPTS per 90
0.92
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Mainz 05 and Union Berlin recent form
Mainz 05
2W 1D 3L
Union Berlin
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Mainz 05 at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-5-7
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.38
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 16
Union Berlin away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-10
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.94
- Goals against / match
- 1.94
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 16
League matches this season before kick-off: Mainz 05 at home only, Union Berlin away only.
Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Mainz 05 0 · draws 3 · Union Berlin 2.
0%
60%
40%
Mainz 05DrawsUnion Berlin
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | Union Berlin | 2-2 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| 2025-01-19 | Union Berlin | 2-1 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-08-24 | Mainz 05 | 1-1 | Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| 2024-02-07 | Mainz 05 | 1-1 | Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| 2023-08-20 | Union Berlin | 4-1 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
Before and after this match
- Mainz 05, previous: St. Pauli v Mainz 05 analysis
- Mainz 05, next: FC Heidenheim vs Mainz 05: odds and pick
- Union Berlin, previous: Union Berlin vs FC Cologne: odds and pick
- Union Berlin, next: Union Berlin – Augsburg, 2026-05-16