Why this pick: Arsenal vs Liverpool
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Arsenal 10, Liverpool 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
ArsenalLiverpool
2.20
xG per 90
1.64
2.13
npxG per 90
1.64
9.4
PPDA
10.9
9.4
Deep completions per 90
8.9
2.17
xPTS per 90
1.86
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Arsenal and Liverpool recent form
Arsenal
5W 1D 0L
Liverpool
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Arsenal at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-1-0
- Win rate
- 90%
- Goals for / match
- 2.60
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 10
Liverpool away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-4
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.70
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
League matches this season before kick-off: Arsenal at home only, Liverpool away only.
Arsenal vs Liverpool head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Arsenal 1 · draws 3 · Liverpool 1.
20%
60%
20%
ArsenalDrawsLiverpool
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-31 | Liverpool | 1-0 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2025-05-11 | Liverpool | 2-2 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2024-10-27 | Arsenal | 2-2 | Liverpool | Premier League |
| 2024-02-04 | Arsenal | 3-1 | Liverpool | Premier League |
| 2023-12-23 | Liverpool | 1-1 | Arsenal | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Arsenal, previous: Bournemouth v Arsenal analysis
- Arsenal, next: Nottingham Forest – Arsenal, 2026-01-17
- Liverpool, previous: Fulham vs Liverpool: odds and pick
- Liverpool, next: Liverpool v Burnley analysis