Why this pick: Bournemouth vs Arsenal
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Bournemouth 10, Arsenal 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BournemouthArsenal
2.05
xG per 90
2.33
1.89
npxG per 90
2.25
9.2
PPDA
9.8
7.8
Deep completions per 90
9.4
1.63
xPTS per 90
2.27
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Bournemouth and Arsenal recent form
Bournemouth
0W 4D 2L
Arsenal
5W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bournemouth at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-4-1
- Win rate
- 44%
- Goals for / match
- 1.22
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 9
Arsenal away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-2-2
- Win rate
- 56%
- Goals for / match
- 1.22
- Goals against / match
- 0.78
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 9
League matches this season before kick-off: Bournemouth at home only, Arsenal away only.
Bournemouth vs Arsenal head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Bournemouth 2 · draws 0 · Arsenal 2.
50%
0%
50%
BournemouthDrawsArsenal
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-03 | Arsenal | 1-2 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 2024-10-19 | Bournemouth | 2-0 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2024-05-04 | Arsenal | 3-0 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 2023-09-30 | Bournemouth | 0-4 | Arsenal | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Bournemouth, previous: Chelsea v Bournemouth analysis
- Bournemouth, next: Bournemouth vs Tottenham: odds and pick
- Arsenal, previous: Arsenal – Aston Villa, 2025-12-30
- Arsenal, next: Arsenal v Liverpool analysis