Why this pick: Arsenal vs Newcastle United
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Arsenal 10, Newcastle United 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
ArsenalNewcastle United
2.04
xG per 90
1.49
1.97
npxG per 90
1.33
9.7
PPDA
10.7
6.9
Deep completions per 90
6.8
1.95
xPTS per 90
0.86
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Arsenal and Newcastle United recent form
Arsenal
1W 1D 4L
Newcastle United
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Arsenal at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 12-2-2
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.69
- Clean sheets
- 8 of 16
Newcastle United away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-4-8
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.31
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 16
League matches this season before kick-off: Arsenal at home only, Newcastle United away only.
Arsenal vs Newcastle United head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Arsenal 3 · draws 0 · Newcastle United 2.
60%
0%
40%
ArsenalDrawsNewcastle United
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-28 | Newcastle United | 1-2 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2025-05-18 | Arsenal | 1-0 | Newcastle United | Premier League |
| 2024-11-02 | Newcastle United | 1-0 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2024-02-24 | Arsenal | 4-1 | Newcastle United | Premier League |
| 2023-11-04 | Newcastle United | 1-0 | Arsenal | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Arsenal, previous: Manchester City vs Arsenal prediction
- Arsenal, next: Arsenal vs Fulham prediction
- Newcastle United, previous: Newcastle United v Bournemouth analysis
- Newcastle United, next: Newcastle United v Brighton analysis