Why this pick: Newcastle United vs Brighton
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Newcastle United 10, Brighton 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Newcastle UnitedBrighton
1.54
xG per 90
1.40
1.39
npxG per 90
1.40
9.9
PPDA
8.5
6.9
Deep completions per 90
7.5
1.01
xPTS per 90
1.66
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Newcastle United and Brighton recent form
Newcastle United
1W 0D 5L
Brighton
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Newcastle United at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-2-7
- Win rate
- 47%
- Goals for / match
- 1.76
- Goals against / match
- 1.65
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 17
Brighton away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-5-7
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.24
- Goals against / match
- 1.29
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 17
League matches this season before kick-off: Newcastle United at home only, Brighton away only.
Newcastle United vs Brighton head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Newcastle United 0 · draws 2 · Brighton 4.
0%
33%
67%
Newcastle UnitedDrawsBrighton
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-18 | Brighton | 2-1 | Newcastle United | Premier League |
| 2025-05-04 | Brighton | 1-1 | Newcastle United | Premier League |
| 2025-03-02 | Newcastle United | 1-2 | Brighton | England FA Cup |
| 2024-10-19 | Newcastle United | 0-1 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2024-05-11 | Newcastle United | 1-1 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2023-09-02 | Brighton | 3-1 | Newcastle United | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Newcastle United, previous: Arsenal v Newcastle United analysis
- Newcastle United, next: Nottingham Forest – Newcastle United, 2026-05-10
- Brighton, previous: Brighton v Chelsea analysis
- Brighton, next: Brighton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: odds and pick