Why this pick: Aston Villa vs Bournemouth
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Aston Villa 10, Bournemouth 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Aston VillaBournemouth
0.85
xG per 90
1.35
0.85
npxG per 90
1.27
13.2
PPDA
9.3
7.1
Deep completions per 90
7.3
0.95
xPTS per 90
1.47
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Aston Villa and Bournemouth recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Aston Villa at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
Bournemouth away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 2.40
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
League matches this season before kick-off: Aston Villa at home only, Bournemouth away only.
Aston Villa vs Bournemouth head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Aston Villa 3 · draws 2 · Bournemouth 3.
38%
25%
37%
Aston VillaDrawsBournemouth
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-10 | Bournemouth | 0-1 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 2024-10-26 | Aston Villa | 1-1 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 2024-04-21 | Aston Villa | 3-1 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 2023-12-03 | Bournemouth | 2-2 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 2023-03-18 | Aston Villa | 3-0 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 2022-08-06 | Bournemouth | 2-0 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 2020-02-01 | Bournemouth | 2-1 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 2019-08-17 | Aston Villa | 1-2 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Aston Villa, previous: Liverpool – Aston Villa, 2025-11-01
- Aston Villa, next: Leeds v Aston Villa analysis
- Bournemouth, previous: Manchester City vs Bournemouth: odds and pick
- Bournemouth, next: Bournemouth vs West Ham prediction