Why this pick: Leeds vs Aston Villa
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Leeds 10, Aston Villa 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
LeedsAston Villa
1.10
xG per 90
1.01
1.10
npxG per 90
1.01
14.1
PPDA
11.9
4.1
Deep completions per 90
7.9
1.29
xPTS per 90
1.04
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Leeds and Aston Villa recent form
Leeds
1W 1D 4L
Aston Villa
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Leeds at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
Aston Villa away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
League matches this season before kick-off: Leeds at home only, Aston Villa away only.
Before and after this match
- Leeds, previous: Nottingham Forest – Leeds, 2025-11-09
- Leeds, next: Manchester City v Leeds analysis
- Aston Villa, previous: Aston Villa v Bournemouth analysis
- Aston Villa, next: Aston Villa vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: odds and pick