Updated
Premier League · England · 2026/27
Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every Aston Villa fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.
Current rank9th 11 pts · full tableForm · last 5
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18+ · T&Cs apply · best price across 11 bookmakers, each at its own last update.
2026/27 league season, 8 matches played. Straight tallies of Aston Villa results, three points for a win.
Month · matches played that month. Both charts share one scale.
Month · matches played that month. Both charts share one scale.
Place in the 2026/27 table after each of 8 league matches, recomputed from results.
Ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored — from played results, not an imported table. Every point is the table as it stood on that date, when other clubs may have played fewer matches, so the last point can read differently from the current table at the top of this page. Hover a point for the match.
Next 8 scheduled — a prediction page appears once a fixture enters our publication window.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Fulham (H) | Aston VillaOur prob 49%Best odds 2.06 | 49% | 2.06 | |
| at Manchester United (A) | Manchester UnitedOur prob 40%Best odds 2.20 | 40% | 2.20 | |
| vs Sunderland (H) | not yet published | — | — | |
| at Ipswich (A) | not yet published | — | — | |
| vs Everton (H) | not yet published | — | — | |
| vs Crystal Palace (H) | not yet published | — | — | |
| at Coventry (A) | not yet published | — | — | |
| at Chelsea (A) | not yet published | — | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded). Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update. 22 more fixtures scheduled later this season.
| Date · round | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 8 September 2026 League Stage - 1 |
at Club Brugge KV | 3–2 win |
| 14 October 2026 League Stage - 2 |
vs Fenerbahçe | 6–0 win |
| 21 October 2026 League Stage - 3 |
vs Viking | 3–1 win |
| 3 November 2026 League Stage - 4 |
at Barcelona | upcoming |
| 24 November 2026 League Stage - 5 |
at Galatasaray | upcoming |
| 8 December 2026 League Stage - 6 |
vs Paris Saint Germain | upcoming |
| 19 January 2027 League Stage - 7 |
vs Borussia Dortmund | upcoming |
| 27 January 2027 League Stage - 8 |
at Slavia Praha | upcoming |
| Date · round | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 16 September 2026 Round of 32 |
at Coventry | 3–1 win |
| 28 October 2026 Round of 16 |
at Bournemouth | upcoming |
Last 8 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Manchester City (H)Our pick Manchester City · 52% | Manchester City to win | 52% | 2–1 | Missed | |
| at Newcastle United (A)Our pick Aston Villa · 37% | Aston Villa to win | 37% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| vs Brentford (H)Our pick Aston Villa · 38% | Aston Villa to win | 38% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| at Tottenham (A)Our pick Tottenham · 47% | Tottenham to win | 47% | 3–2 | Missed | |
| vs Nottingham Forest (H)Our pick Aston Villa · 47% | Aston Villa to win | 47% | 1–2 | Missed | |
| at Hull City (A)Our pick Aston Villa · 44% | Aston Villa to win | 44% | 0–0 | Missed | |
| vs Arsenal (H)Our pick Arsenal · 55% | Arsenal to win | 55% | 0–1 | Correct | |
| at Brighton (A)Our pick Brighton · 40% | Brighton to win | 40% | 0–4 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result. Scores are Aston Villa’s goals first; H/A = home/away.
Aston Villa at home Aston Villa awayLeague matches this season only: Aston Villa at home in the left column, away in the right.
Pau TorresDefender
0 G 2 A