Updated

Premier League

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest

Full time3 – 1

Why this pick: Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest

Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Aston Villa 10, Nottingham Forest 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.

Aston VillaNottingham Forest
1.82 xG per 90 1.28
1.82 npxG per 90 1.20
15.6 PPDA 13.3
6.2 Deep completions per 90 6.4
1.33 xPTS per 90 1.33

xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.

Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest recent form

Aston Villa 5W 0D 1L
Nottingham Forest 2W 0D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Aston Villa at home

Record (W-D-L)
7-1-1
Win rate
78%
Goals for / match
1.67
Goals against / match
0.78
Clean sheets
4 of 9

Nottingham Forest away

Record (W-D-L)
2-2-5
Win rate
22%
Goals for / match
0.67
Goals against / match
1.44
Clean sheets
2 of 9

League matches this season before kick-off: Aston Villa at home only, Nottingham Forest away only.

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest head-to-head

Last 6 meetings: Aston Villa 3 · draws 1 · Nottingham Forest 2.

Aston VillaDrawsNottingham Forest
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2025-04-05Aston Villa2-1Nottingham ForestPremier League
2024-12-14Nottingham Forest2-1Aston VillaPremier League
2024-02-24Aston Villa4-2Nottingham ForestPremier League
2023-11-05Nottingham Forest2-0Aston VillaPremier League
2023-04-08Aston Villa2-0Nottingham ForestPremier League
2022-10-10Nottingham Forest1-1Aston VillaPremier League

Before and after this match