Why this pick: Aston Villa vs Tottenham
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Aston Villa 10, Tottenham 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Aston VillaTottenham
1.47
xG per 90
1.13
1.47
npxG per 90
1.13
12.8
PPDA
10.9
8.4
Deep completions per 90
4.9
1.37
xPTS per 90
0.95
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Aston Villa and Tottenham recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Aston Villa at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 11-2-4
- Win rate
- 65%
- Goals for / match
- 1.59
- Goals against / match
- 1.06
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 17
Tottenham away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-5-6
- Win rate
- 35%
- Goals for / match
- 1.35
- Goals against / match
- 1.35
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 17
League matches this season before kick-off: Aston Villa at home only, Tottenham away only.
Aston Villa vs Tottenham head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Aston Villa 7 · draws 0 · Tottenham 3.
70%
0%
30%
Aston VillaDrawsTottenham
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Aston Villa | 1-2 | Tottenham | Premier League |
| 2026-01-10 | Tottenham | 1-2 | Aston Villa | England FA Cup |
| 2025-10-19 | Tottenham | 1-2 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 2025-05-16 | Aston Villa | 2-0 | Tottenham | Premier League |
| 2025-02-09 | Aston Villa | 2-1 | Tottenham | England FA Cup |
| 2024-11-03 | Tottenham | 4-1 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 2024-03-10 | Aston Villa | 0-4 | Tottenham | Premier League |
| 2023-11-26 | Tottenham | 1-2 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 2023-05-13 | Aston Villa | 2-1 | Tottenham | Premier League |
| 2023-01-01 | Tottenham | 0-2 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Aston Villa, previous: Fulham v Aston Villa analysis
- Aston Villa, next: Burnley vs Aston Villa: odds and pick
- Tottenham, previous: Wolverhampton Wanderers – Tottenham, 2026-04-25
- Tottenham, next: Tottenham vs Leeds: odds and pick