Why this pick: Burnley vs Brentford
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Burnley 10, Brentford 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BurnleyBrentford
0.89
xG per 90
1.93
0.89
npxG per 90
1.85
13.1
PPDA
10.9
4.4
Deep completions per 90
7.8
0.61
xPTS per 90
1.56
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Burnley and Brentford recent form
Burnley
1W 2D 3L
Brentford
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Burnley at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-4-7
- Win rate
- 15%
- Goals for / match
- 0.92
- Goals against / match
- 1.46
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 13
Brentford away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-8
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.23
- Goals against / match
- 1.69
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 13
League matches this season before kick-off: Burnley at home only, Brentford away only.
Burnley vs Brentford head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Burnley 1 · draws 0 · Brentford 2.
33%
0%
67%
BurnleyDrawsBrentford
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 | Brentford | 3-1 | Burnley | Premier League |
| 2024-03-16 | Burnley | 2-1 | Brentford | Premier League |
| 2023-10-21 | Brentford | 3-0 | Burnley | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Burnley, previous: Chelsea vs Burnley prediction
- Burnley, next: Everton vs Burnley: odds and pick
- Brentford, previous: Brentford vs Brighton: odds and pick
- Brentford, next: Bournemouth v Brentford analysis