Why this pick: Bournemouth vs Manchester City
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Bournemouth 10, Manchester City 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BournemouthManchester City
1.88
xG per 90
2.56
1.72
npxG per 90
2.56
9.4
PPDA
10.1
7.4
Deep completions per 90
13.2
1.64
xPTS per 90
2.27
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Bournemouth and Manchester City recent form
Bournemouth
4W 2D 0L
Manchester City
5W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bournemouth at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-9-2
- Win rate
- 39%
- Goals for / match
- 1.56
- Goals against / match
- 1.06
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 18
Manchester City away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-5-4
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.72
- Goals against / match
- 1.11
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 18
League matches this season before kick-off: Bournemouth at home only, Manchester City away only.
Bournemouth vs Manchester City head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Bournemouth 1 · draws 0 · Manchester City 5.
17%
0%
83%
BournemouthDrawsManchester City
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 | Manchester City | 3-1 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 2025-05-20 | Manchester City | 3-1 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 2025-03-30 | Bournemouth | 1-2 | Manchester City | England FA Cup |
| 2024-11-02 | Bournemouth | 2-1 | Manchester City | Premier League |
| 2024-02-24 | Bournemouth | 0-1 | Manchester City | Premier League |
| 2023-11-04 | Manchester City | 6-1 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Bournemouth, previous: Fulham vs Bournemouth prediction
- Bournemouth, next: Nottingham Forest – Bournemouth, 2026-05-24
- Manchester City, previous: Manchester City vs Crystal Palace prediction
- Manchester City, next: Manchester City vs Aston Villa prediction