Why this pick: Brighton vs Arsenal
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Brighton 10, Arsenal 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BrightonArsenal
1.41
xG per 90
1.88
1.25
npxG per 90
1.88
9.4
PPDA
9.5
5.8
Deep completions per 90
9.1
1.41
xPTS per 90
2.12
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Brighton and Arsenal recent form
Brighton
2W 1D 3L
Arsenal
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Brighton at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-6-2
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.57
- Goals against / match
- 1.07
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 14
Arsenal away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-5-2
- Win rate
- 53%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.87
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 15
League matches this season before kick-off: Brighton at home only, Arsenal away only.
Brighton vs Arsenal head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Brighton 2 · draws 2 · Arsenal 5.
22%
22%
56%
BrightonDrawsArsenal
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-27 | Arsenal | 2-1 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2025-10-29 | Arsenal | 2-0 | Brighton | League Cup |
| 2025-01-04 | Brighton | 1-1 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2024-08-31 | Arsenal | 1-1 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2024-04-06 | Brighton | 0-3 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2023-12-17 | Arsenal | 2-0 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2023-05-14 | Arsenal | 0-3 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2022-12-31 | Brighton | 2-4 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2022-11-09 | Arsenal | 1-3 | Brighton | League Cup |
Before and after this match
- Brighton, previous: Brighton v Nottingham Forest analysis
- Brighton, next: Sunderland – Brighton, 2026-03-14
- Arsenal, previous: Arsenal – Chelsea, 2026-03-01
- Arsenal, next: Arsenal v Everton analysis