Why this pick: Brighton vs Nottingham Forest
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Brighton 10, Nottingham Forest 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BrightonNottingham Forest
1.36
xG per 90
1.35
1.20
npxG per 90
1.27
9.5
PPDA
17.3
5.4
Deep completions per 90
6.3
1.27
xPTS per 90
0.93
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Brighton and Nottingham Forest recent form
Brighton
1W 1D 4L
Nottingham Forest
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Brighton at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-6-2
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.54
- Goals against / match
- 1.08
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 13
Nottingham Forest away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-7
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 0.92
- Goals against / match
- 1.54
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 13
League matches this season before kick-off: Brighton at home only, Nottingham Forest away only.
Brighton vs Nottingham Forest head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Brighton 3 · draws 2 · Nottingham Forest 1.
50%
33%
17%
BrightonDrawsNottingham Forest
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | Nottingham Forest | 0-2 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2025-03-29 | Brighton | 0-0 | Nottingham Forest | England FA Cup |
| 2025-02-01 | Nottingham Forest | 7-0 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2024-09-22 | Brighton | 2-2 | Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| 2024-03-10 | Brighton | 1-0 | Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| 2023-11-25 | Nottingham Forest | 2-3 | Brighton | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Brighton, previous: Brentford vs Brighton: odds and pick
- Brighton, next: Brighton vs Arsenal: odds and pick
- Nottingham Forest, previous: Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool prediction
- Nottingham Forest, next: Manchester City – Nottingham Forest, 2026-03-04