Why this pick: Arsenal vs Chelsea
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Arsenal 10, Chelsea 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
ArsenalChelsea
2.15
xG per 90
2.57
2.15
npxG per 90
2.11
8.8
PPDA
9.5
8.9
Deep completions per 90
7.0
2.18
xPTS per 90
1.98
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Arsenal and Chelsea recent form
Arsenal
4W 2D 0L
Chelsea
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Arsenal at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 10-2-1
- Win rate
- 77%
- Goals for / match
- 2.38
- Goals against / match
- 0.62
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 13
Chelsea away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-4-3
- Win rate
- 46%
- Goals for / match
- 1.92
- Goals against / match
- 1.15
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 13
League matches this season before kick-off: Arsenal at home only, Chelsea away only.
Arsenal vs Chelsea head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Arsenal 6 · draws 3 · Chelsea 0.
67%
33%
0%
ArsenalDrawsChelsea
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 | Arsenal | 1-0 | Chelsea | League Cup |
| 2026-01-14 | Chelsea | 2-3 | Arsenal | League Cup |
| 2025-11-30 | Chelsea | 1-1 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2025-03-16 | Arsenal | 1-0 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2024-11-10 | Chelsea | 1-1 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2024-04-23 | Arsenal | 5-0 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2023-10-21 | Chelsea | 2-2 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2023-05-02 | Arsenal | 3-1 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2022-11-06 | Chelsea | 0-1 | Arsenal | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Arsenal, previous: Tottenham v Arsenal analysis
- Arsenal, next: Brighton vs Arsenal: odds and pick
- Chelsea, previous: Chelsea vs Burnley prediction
- Chelsea, next: Aston Villa v Chelsea analysis