Why this pick: Brighton vs Liverpool
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Brighton 10, Liverpool 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BrightonLiverpool
1.15
xG per 90
2.02
1.15
npxG per 90
1.94
9.0
PPDA
10.7
6.5
Deep completions per 90
11.8
1.32
xPTS per 90
1.85
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Brighton and Liverpool recent form
Brighton
3W 0D 3L
Liverpool
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Brighton at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-6-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.47
- Goals against / match
- 1.07
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 15
Liverpool away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-3-6
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.47
- Goals against / match
- 1.53
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 15
League matches this season before kick-off: Brighton at home only, Liverpool away only.
Brighton vs Liverpool head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Brighton 3 · draws 1 · Liverpool 5.
33%
11%
56%
BrightonDrawsLiverpool
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Liverpool | 3-0 | Brighton | England FA Cup |
| 2025-12-13 | Liverpool | 2-0 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2025-05-19 | Brighton | 3-2 | Liverpool | Premier League |
| 2024-11-02 | Liverpool | 2-1 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2024-10-30 | Brighton | 2-3 | Liverpool | League Cup |
| 2024-03-31 | Liverpool | 2-1 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2023-10-08 | Brighton | 2-2 | Liverpool | Premier League |
| 2023-01-29 | Brighton | 2-1 | Liverpool | FA Cup |
| 2023-01-14 | Brighton | 3-0 | Liverpool | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Brighton, previous: Sunderland – Brighton, 2026-03-14
- Brighton, next: Burnley – Brighton, 2026-04-11
- Liverpool, previous: Liverpool vs Tottenham prediction
- Liverpool, next: Liverpool v Fulham analysis