Why this pick: Burnley vs Brighton
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Burnley 10, Brighton 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BurnleyBrighton
1.10
xG per 90
1.36
1.10
npxG per 90
1.36
14.9
PPDA
8.9
4.2
Deep completions per 90
7.1
0.64
xPTS per 90
1.56
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Burnley and Brighton recent form
Burnley
0W 2D 4L
Brighton
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Burnley at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-5-8
- Win rate
- 13%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.53
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 15
Brighton away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-4-7
- Win rate
- 27%
- Goals for / match
- 1.13
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 15
League matches this season before kick-off: Burnley at home only, Brighton away only.
Burnley vs Brighton head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Burnley 0 · draws 2 · Brighton 1.
0%
67%
33%
BurnleyDrawsBrighton
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | Brighton | 2-0 | Burnley | Premier League |
| 2024-04-13 | Burnley | 1-1 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2023-12-09 | Brighton | 1-1 | Burnley | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Burnley, previous: Fulham vs Burnley prediction
- Burnley, next: Nottingham Forest vs Burnley: odds and pick
- Brighton, previous: Brighton vs Liverpool: odds and pick
- Brighton, next: Tottenham vs Brighton: odds and pick