Why this pick: Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Chelsea 10, Nottingham Forest 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
ChelseaNottingham Forest
2.01
xG per 90
1.46
1.78
npxG per 90
1.46
13.1
PPDA
14.9
8.1
Deep completions per 90
4.7
1.76
xPTS per 90
1.28
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Chelsea and Nottingham Forest recent form
Chelsea
2W 0D 4L
Nottingham Forest
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Chelsea at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-5-6
- Win rate
- 35%
- Goals for / match
- 1.35
- Goals against / match
- 1.24
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 17
Nottingham Forest away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-3-8
- Win rate
- 35%
- Goals for / match
- 1.35
- Goals against / match
- 1.41
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 17
League matches this season before kick-off: Chelsea at home only, Nottingham Forest away only.
Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Chelsea 3 · draws 1 · Nottingham Forest 1.
60%
20%
20%
ChelseaDrawsNottingham Forest
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-18 | Nottingham Forest | 0-3 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2025-05-25 | Nottingham Forest | 0-1 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2024-10-06 | Chelsea | 1-1 | Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| 2024-05-11 | Nottingham Forest | 2-3 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2023-09-02 | Chelsea | 0-1 | Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Chelsea, previous: Brighton v Chelsea analysis
- Chelsea, next: Liverpool v Chelsea analysis
- Nottingham Forest, previous: Sunderland – Nottingham Forest, 2026-04-24
- Nottingham Forest, next: Nottingham Forest – Newcastle United, 2026-05-10