Why this pick: Brighton vs Chelsea
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Brighton 10, Chelsea 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BrightonChelsea
1.29
xG per 90
2.25
1.29
npxG per 90
2.02
8.2
PPDA
11.4
7.5
Deep completions per 90
8.4
1.53
xPTS per 90
1.96
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Brighton and Chelsea recent form
Brighton
4W 1D 1L
Chelsea
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Brighton at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-6-3
- Win rate
- 44%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.06
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 16
Chelsea away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-4-5
- Win rate
- 44%
- Goals for / match
- 1.88
- Goals against / match
- 1.31
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 16
League matches this season before kick-off: Brighton at home only, Chelsea away only.
Brighton vs Chelsea head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Brighton 3 · draws 0 · Chelsea 3.
50%
0%
50%
BrightonDrawsChelsea
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-27 | Chelsea | 1-3 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2025-02-14 | Brighton | 3-0 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2025-02-08 | Brighton | 2-1 | Chelsea | England FA Cup |
| 2024-09-28 | Chelsea | 4-2 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2024-05-15 | Brighton | 1-2 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2023-12-03 | Chelsea | 3-2 | Brighton | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Brighton, previous: Tottenham vs Brighton: odds and pick
- Brighton, next: Newcastle United v Brighton analysis
- Chelsea, previous: Chelsea vs Manchester United prediction
- Chelsea, next: Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest prediction