Why this pick: Leeds vs Burnley
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Leeds 10, Burnley 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
LeedsBurnley
1.75
xG per 90
1.11
1.52
npxG per 90
1.11
12.3
PPDA
15.4
6.0
Deep completions per 90
4.1
1.55
xPTS per 90
0.75
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Leeds and Burnley recent form
Leeds
2W 3D 1L
Burnley
0W 1D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Leeds at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-5-5
- Win rate
- 41%
- Goals for / match
- 1.47
- Goals against / match
- 1.18
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 17
Burnley away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-12
- Win rate
- 12%
- Goals for / match
- 1.12
- Goals against / match
- 2.47
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 17
League matches this season before kick-off: Leeds at home only, Burnley away only.
Leeds vs Burnley head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Leeds 0 · draws 0 · Burnley 1.
0%
0%
100%
LeedsDrawsBurnley
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-18 | Burnley | 2-0 | Leeds | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Leeds, previous: Bournemouth vs Leeds: odds and pick
- Leeds, next: Tottenham vs Leeds: odds and pick
- Burnley, previous: Burnley vs Manchester City prediction
- Burnley, next: Burnley vs Aston Villa: odds and pick