Why this pick: Chelsea vs Leeds
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Chelsea 10, Leeds 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
ChelseaLeeds
2.36
xG per 90
1.80
1.98
npxG per 90
1.73
9.5
PPDA
12.2
6.2
Deep completions per 90
7.2
1.73
xPTS per 90
1.64
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Chelsea and Leeds recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Chelsea at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-3-3
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.08
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 12
Leeds away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-4-7
- Win rate
- 8%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.08
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 12
League matches this season before kick-off: Chelsea at home only, Leeds away only.
Chelsea vs Leeds head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Chelsea 5 · draws 1 · Leeds 2.
62%
12%
26%
ChelseaDrawsLeeds
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-03 | Leeds | 3-1 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2024-02-28 | Chelsea | 3-2 | Leeds | FA Cup |
| 2023-03-04 | Chelsea | 1-0 | Leeds | Premier League |
| 2022-08-21 | Leeds | 3-0 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2022-05-11 | Leeds | 0-3 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2021-12-11 | Chelsea | 3-2 | Leeds | Premier League |
| 2021-03-13 | Leeds | 0-0 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2020-12-05 | Chelsea | 3-1 | Leeds | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Chelsea, previous: Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Chelsea: odds and pick
- Chelsea, next: Chelsea vs Burnley prediction
- Leeds, previous: Leeds – Nottingham Forest, 2026-02-06
- Leeds, next: Aston Villa v Leeds analysis