Why this pick: Liverpool vs Manchester City
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Liverpool 10, Manchester City 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
LiverpoolManchester City
1.85
xG per 90
1.87
1.77
npxG per 90
1.72
12.1
PPDA
9.0
11.3
Deep completions per 90
10.0
1.84
xPTS per 90
1.79
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Liverpool and Manchester City recent form
Liverpool
4W 1D 1L
Manchester City
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Liverpool at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-3-2
- Win rate
- 58%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 12
Manchester City away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-3-4
- Win rate
- 42%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 12
League matches this season before kick-off: Liverpool at home only, Manchester City away only.
Liverpool vs Manchester City head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Liverpool 3 · draws 2 · Manchester City 3.
38%
25%
37%
LiverpoolDrawsManchester City
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | Manchester City | 3-0 | Liverpool | Premier League |
| 2025-02-23 | Manchester City | 0-2 | Liverpool | Premier League |
| 2024-12-01 | Liverpool | 2-0 | Manchester City | Premier League |
| 2024-03-10 | Liverpool | 1-1 | Manchester City | Premier League |
| 2023-11-25 | Manchester City | 1-1 | Liverpool | Premier League |
| 2023-04-01 | Manchester City | 4-1 | Liverpool | Premier League |
| 2022-12-22 | Manchester City | 3-2 | Liverpool | League Cup |
| 2022-10-16 | Liverpool | 1-0 | Manchester City | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Liverpool, previous: Liverpool vs Newcastle United: odds and pick
- Liverpool, next: Sunderland vs Liverpool: odds and pick
- Manchester City, previous: Tottenham vs Manchester City: odds and pick
- Manchester City, next: Manchester City – Fulham, 2026-02-11