Why this pick: Manchester City vs Chelsea
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Manchester City 10, Chelsea 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Manchester CityChelsea
2.26
xG per 90
1.95
2.11
npxG per 90
1.87
11.9
PPDA
8.3
10.0
Deep completions per 90
8.5
2.13
xPTS per 90
1.46
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Manchester City and Chelsea recent form
Manchester City
5W 1D 0L
Chelsea
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Manchester City at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-0-1
- Win rate
- 89%
- Goals for / match
- 2.78
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 9
Chelsea away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-2
- Win rate
- 44%
- Goals for / match
- 1.89
- Goals against / match
- 1.11
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 9
League matches this season before kick-off: Manchester City at home only, Chelsea away only.
Manchester City vs Chelsea head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Manchester City 2 · draws 2 · Chelsea 0.
50%
50%
0%
Manchester CityDrawsChelsea
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-25 | Manchester City | 3-1 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2024-08-18 | Chelsea | 0-2 | Manchester City | Premier League |
| 2024-02-17 | Manchester City | 1-1 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2023-11-12 | Chelsea | 4-4 | Manchester City | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Manchester City, previous: Sunderland v Manchester City analysis
- Manchester City, next: Manchester City vs Brighton: odds and pick
- Chelsea, previous: Chelsea v Bournemouth analysis
- Chelsea, next: Fulham v Chelsea analysis