Why this pick: Manchester City vs Liverpool
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Manchester City 10, Liverpool 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Manchester CityLiverpool
1.95
xG per 90
1.87
1.95
npxG per 90
1.79
13.9
PPDA
9.2
9.4
Deep completions per 90
9.4
2.00
xPTS per 90
1.56
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Manchester City and Liverpool recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Manchester City at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-1
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 2.60
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
Liverpool away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
League matches this season before kick-off: Manchester City at home only, Liverpool away only.
Manchester City vs Liverpool head-to-head
Last 7 meetings: Manchester City 2 · draws 2 · Liverpool 3.
29%
29%
42%
Manchester CityDrawsLiverpool
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-23 | Manchester City | 0-2 | Liverpool | Premier League |
| 2024-12-01 | Liverpool | 2-0 | Manchester City | Premier League |
| 2024-03-10 | Liverpool | 1-1 | Manchester City | Premier League |
| 2023-11-25 | Manchester City | 1-1 | Liverpool | Premier League |
| 2023-04-01 | Manchester City | 4-1 | Liverpool | Premier League |
| 2022-12-22 | Manchester City | 3-2 | Liverpool | League Cup |
| 2022-10-16 | Liverpool | 1-0 | Manchester City | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Manchester City, previous: Manchester City vs Bournemouth: odds and pick
- Manchester City, next: Newcastle United – Manchester City, 2025-11-22
- Liverpool, previous: Liverpool – Aston Villa, 2025-11-01
- Liverpool, next: Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest: odds and pick