Why this pick: Manchester United vs Aston Villa
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Manchester United 10, Aston Villa 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Manchester UnitedAston Villa
1.85
xG per 90
1.27
1.78
npxG per 90
1.27
11.8
PPDA
10.9
8.0
Deep completions per 90
10.8
1.92
xPTS per 90
1.33
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Manchester United and Aston Villa recent form
Manchester United
4W 1D 1L
Aston Villa
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Manchester United at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-3-2
- Win rate
- 64%
- Goals for / match
- 1.93
- Goals against / match
- 1.14
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 14
Aston Villa away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-4-4
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 1.36
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 14
League matches this season before kick-off: Manchester United at home only, Aston Villa away only.
Manchester United vs Aston Villa head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Manchester United 3 · draws 1 · Aston Villa 1.
60%
20%
20%
Manchester UnitedDrawsAston Villa
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 | Aston Villa | 2-1 | Manchester United | Premier League |
| 2025-05-25 | Manchester United | 2-0 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 2024-10-06 | Aston Villa | 0-0 | Manchester United | Premier League |
| 2024-02-11 | Aston Villa | 1-2 | Manchester United | Premier League |
| 2023-12-26 | Manchester United | 3-2 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Manchester United, previous: Newcastle United v Manchester United analysis
- Manchester United, next: Bournemouth v Manchester United analysis
- Aston Villa, previous: Aston Villa v Chelsea analysis
- Aston Villa, next: Aston Villa vs West Ham prediction