Why this pick: Newcastle United vs Aston Villa
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Newcastle United 10, Aston Villa 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
1.88
xG per 90
1.89
1.65
npxG per 90
1.89
9.9
PPDA
14.7
7.8
Deep completions per 90
8.1
1.85
xPTS per 90
1.57
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Newcastle United and Aston Villa recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Newcastle United at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-2-2
- Win rate
- 64%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.36
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 11
Aston Villa away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-3-3
- Win rate
- 45%
- Goals for / match
- 1.36
- Goals against / match
- 1.45
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 11
League matches this season before kick-off: Newcastle United at home only, Aston Villa away only.
Newcastle United vs Aston Villa head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Newcastle United 4 · draws 2 · Aston Villa 2.
50%
25%
25%
Newcastle UnitedDrawsAston Villa
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-16 | Aston Villa | 0-0 | Newcastle United | Premier League |
| 2025-04-19 | Aston Villa | 4-1 | Newcastle United | Premier League |
| 2024-12-26 | Newcastle United | 3-0 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 2024-01-30 | Aston Villa | 1-3 | Newcastle United | Premier League |
| 2023-08-12 | Newcastle United | 5-1 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 2023-07-23 | Newcastle United | 3-3 | Aston Villa | Premier League - Summer Series |
| 2023-04-15 | Aston Villa | 3-0 | Newcastle United | Premier League |
| 2022-10-29 | Newcastle United | 4-0 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Newcastle United, previous: Wolverhampton Wanderers v Newcastle United analysis
- Newcastle United, next: Liverpool vs Newcastle United: odds and pick
- Aston Villa, previous: Aston Villa vs Everton: odds and pick
- Aston Villa, next: Aston Villa vs Brentford prediction