Why this pick: Aston Villa vs Brentford
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Aston Villa 10, Brentford 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Aston VillaBrentford
1.91
xG per 90
1.71
1.91
npxG per 90
1.71
14.9
PPDA
9.7
8.2
Deep completions per 90
7.8
1.48
xPTS per 90
1.38
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Aston Villa and Brentford recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Aston Villa at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-1-2
- Win rate
- 73%
- Goals for / match
- 1.64
- Goals against / match
- 0.82
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 11
Brentford away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-8
- Win rate
- 27%
- Goals for / match
- 1.09
- Goals against / match
- 1.82
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 11
League matches this season before kick-off: Aston Villa at home only, Brentford away only.
Aston Villa vs Brentford head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Aston Villa 4 · draws 4 · Brentford 1.
44%
44%
12%
Aston VillaDrawsBrentford
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-16 | Brentford | 1-1 | Aston Villa | League Cup |
| 2025-08-23 | Brentford | 1-0 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 2025-03-08 | Brentford | 0-1 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 2024-12-04 | Aston Villa | 3-1 | Brentford | Premier League |
| 2024-04-06 | Aston Villa | 3-3 | Brentford | Premier League |
| 2023-12-17 | Brentford | 1-2 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 2023-07-30 | Aston Villa | 3-3 | Brentford | Premier League - Summer Series |
| 2023-04-22 | Brentford | 1-1 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 2022-10-23 | Aston Villa | 4-0 | Brentford | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Aston Villa, previous: Newcastle United vs Aston Villa prediction
- Aston Villa, next: Bournemouth vs Aston Villa: odds and pick
- Brentford, previous: Brentford v Nottingham Forest analysis
- Brentford, next: Newcastle United vs Brentford prediction