Why this pick: Newcastle United vs Chelsea
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Newcastle United 10, Chelsea 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Newcastle UnitedChelsea
1.76
xG per 90
1.91
1.53
npxG per 90
1.91
10.5
PPDA
9.5
7.2
Deep completions per 90
8.0
1.56
xPTS per 90
1.59
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Newcastle United and Chelsea recent form
Newcastle United
3W 2D 1L
Chelsea
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Newcastle United at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-1-2
- Win rate
- 62%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 8
Chelsea away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.88
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 8
League matches this season before kick-off: Newcastle United at home only, Chelsea away only.
Newcastle United vs Chelsea head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Newcastle United 2 · draws 0 · Chelsea 2.
50%
0%
50%
Newcastle UnitedDrawsChelsea
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-11 | Newcastle United | 2-0 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2024-10-27 | Chelsea | 2-1 | Newcastle United | Premier League |
| 2024-03-11 | Chelsea | 3-2 | Newcastle United | Premier League |
| 2023-11-25 | Newcastle United | 4-1 | Chelsea | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Newcastle United, previous: Sunderland – Newcastle United, 2025-12-14
- Newcastle United, next: Manchester United vs Newcastle United: odds and pick
- Chelsea, previous: Chelsea vs Everton: odds and pick
- Chelsea, next: Chelsea v Aston Villa analysis