Why this pick: Chelsea vs Aston Villa
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Chelsea 10, Aston Villa 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
ChelseaAston Villa
1.89
xG per 90
1.44
1.89
npxG per 90
1.44
9.1
PPDA
12.9
8.1
Deep completions per 90
6.2
1.55
xPTS per 90
1.26
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Chelsea and Aston Villa recent form
Chelsea
2W 2D 2L
Aston Villa
6W 0D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Chelsea at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.88
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 8
Aston Villa away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.38
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 8
League matches this season before kick-off: Chelsea at home only, Aston Villa away only.
Chelsea vs Aston Villa head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Chelsea 1 · draws 1 · Aston Villa 2.
25%
25%
50%
ChelseaDrawsAston Villa
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-22 | Aston Villa | 2-1 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2024-12-01 | Chelsea | 3-0 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 2024-04-27 | Aston Villa | 2-2 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2023-09-24 | Chelsea | 0-1 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Chelsea, previous: Newcastle United – Chelsea, 2025-12-20
- Chelsea, next: Chelsea v Bournemouth analysis
- Aston Villa, previous: Aston Villa – Manchester United, 2025-12-21
- Aston Villa, next: Arsenal – Aston Villa, 2025-12-30