Why this pick: Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Nottingham Forest 10, Aston Villa 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Nottingham ForestAston Villa
1.34
xG per 90
1.29
1.34
npxG per 90
1.29
19.6
PPDA
12.3
4.3
Deep completions per 90
10.3
0.93
xPTS per 90
1.31
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Nottingham Forest at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-5-7
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.87
- Goals against / match
- 1.27
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 15
Aston Villa away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-4-5
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.27
- Goals against / match
- 1.47
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 15
League matches this season before kick-off: Nottingham Forest at home only, Aston Villa away only.
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa head-to-head
Last 7 meetings: Nottingham Forest 2 · draws 1 · Aston Villa 4.
29%
14%
57%
Nottingham ForestDrawsAston Villa
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | Aston Villa | 3-1 | Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| 2025-04-05 | Aston Villa | 2-1 | Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| 2024-12-14 | Nottingham Forest | 2-1 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 2024-02-24 | Aston Villa | 4-2 | Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| 2023-11-05 | Nottingham Forest | 2-0 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 2023-04-08 | Aston Villa | 2-0 | Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| 2022-10-10 | Nottingham Forest | 1-1 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Nottingham Forest, previous: Tottenham – Nottingham Forest, 2026-03-22
- Nottingham Forest, next: Nottingham Forest vs Burnley: odds and pick
- Aston Villa, previous: Aston Villa vs West Ham prediction
- Aston Villa, next: Aston Villa – Sunderland, 2026-04-19