Why this pick: Nottingham Forest vs Burnley
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Nottingham Forest 10, Burnley 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Nottingham ForestBurnley
1.39
xG per 90
1.12
1.39
npxG per 90
1.12
17.6
PPDA
15.0
4.4
Deep completions per 90
4.0
1.02
xPTS per 90
0.75
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Nottingham Forest and Burnley recent form
Nottingham Forest
3W 3D 0L
Burnley
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Nottingham Forest at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-6-7
- Win rate
- 19%
- Goals for / match
- 0.88
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 16
Burnley away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-11
- Win rate
- 12%
- Goals for / match
- 1.12
- Goals against / match
- 2.38
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 16
League matches this season before kick-off: Nottingham Forest at home only, Burnley away only.
Nottingham Forest vs Burnley head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Nottingham Forest 1 · draws 2 · Burnley 0.
33%
67%
0%
Nottingham ForestDrawsBurnley
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-20 | Burnley | 1-1 | Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| 2024-05-19 | Burnley | 1-2 | Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| 2023-09-18 | Nottingham Forest | 1-1 | Burnley | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Nottingham Forest, previous: Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa: odds and pick
- Nottingham Forest, next: Sunderland – Nottingham Forest, 2026-04-24
- Burnley, previous: Burnley – Brighton, 2026-04-11
- Burnley, next: Burnley vs Manchester City prediction