Why this pick: Tottenham vs Brighton
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Tottenham 10, Brighton 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
TottenhamBrighton
1.28
xG per 90
1.37
1.28
npxG per 90
1.37
11.1
PPDA
9.0
5.0
Deep completions per 90
7.4
0.92
xPTS per 90
1.63
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Tottenham and Brighton recent form
Tottenham
1W 1D 4L
Brighton
5W 0D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Tottenham at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-4-10
- Win rate
- 12%
- Goals for / match
- 1.12
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 16
Brighton away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-4-7
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 1.19
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 16
League matches this season before kick-off: Tottenham at home only, Brighton away only.
Tottenham vs Brighton head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Tottenham 1 · draws 1 · Brighton 3.
20%
20%
60%
TottenhamDrawsBrighton
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-20 | Brighton | 2-2 | Tottenham | Premier League |
| 2025-05-25 | Tottenham | 1-4 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2024-10-06 | Brighton | 3-2 | Tottenham | Premier League |
| 2024-02-10 | Tottenham | 2-1 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2023-12-28 | Brighton | 4-2 | Tottenham | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Tottenham, previous: Sunderland vs Tottenham prediction
- Tottenham, next: Wolverhampton Wanderers – Tottenham, 2026-04-25
- Brighton, previous: Burnley – Brighton, 2026-04-11
- Brighton, next: Brighton v Chelsea analysis